Monday, October 26, 2009

Provoking Thought: Moral Judgments in Objective Situations

I saw a preview for an upcoming movie on TV the other day. The movie was The Box, which is the upcoming Cameron Diaz movie, that's based on an old Twilight Zone episode, "Button, Button." Basically, the premise is this. Some stranger comes by, and has a little box, with a red button inside. Sort of like what you'd imagine a missile launch button in the Oval Office would look like.


See? That was easy. Now give me my million bucks. Or launch the nuke. Either way.

Now, the trick is, if you hit the button, you magically get a million bucks. The apparent drawback is that someone will die as a result. My first (and current) instinct is to start mashing buttons, like I was playing Nintendo. Think the old Track and Field game, where the faster you push the buttons, the faster your guy runs. In the old Twilight Zone episode, the button killed someone you didn't know. And after they push the button, the mysterious stranger informs the newly rich, button-pushing murders that he was going to give the button to "someone they didn't know." And that's supposed to horrify the button-pusher and the audience. Given my reaction, maybe it's not quite the moral dilemma that the writers of The Twilight Zone would have us believe it is. At least, it isn't for someone with my shaky track record on human rights. My working plan is to basically shoot the guy who came by the house with the button, keep the button, pretend the button is a bongo drum, and start printing the cash.

But what's interesting is how this device is supposed to capture our imaginations. In this country, we seem to be wired such that we demand not only justice in outcome (distributive justice), but also outcome in process (procedural justice). Now, the case of The Box, we're supposed to be somewhat offended at both the process (too whimsical, trading wealth for life), but also the outcome (one's gain at the expense at a presumably innocent party). Now what intrigues me is the idea that how we think about this problem quickly moves from a mindset of problem solving into a mindset of evaluating morality.

I've mentioned some research on intuition before in the Board Room done by one of my friends. One of his latest works is a book chapter on intuition, where he discusses the difference between intuition in problem solving and intuition in morality. Essentially, the differences boil down to two dimensions. The first is the level of affect at play (affect is basically equal to we describe emotion in common language). When we use intuition in problem solving, we generally have a low level of emotion involved. However, when we use intuition as, "an input in making moral decisions," it tends to be an emotionally charged process. The other interesting thing is in the evaluation process itself. When we are in a problem solving mode, our intuition is based on "very specific, domain-based knowledge." Essentially, we base our evaluations on our knowledge about the situation at hand. On the other hand, when we are making moral evaluations, our intuition is based on "moral prototypes," essentially examples that morality.

Now what's interesting is that when we try to evaluate the morality of a situation, we use information that is inferior for making objective decisions. Basically, the presence of affect is generally to be distracting toward problem optimization. And the use of a prototype (which is culturally negotiated and rather dynamic) can easily lead to faulty conclusions. Basically, we are much worse at using moral intuition than we are at using our problem solving intuition. And perhaps more interestingly, despite the use of this inferior information, we are actually more entrenched with our moral evaluations than we are with our more analytical ones.

It breaks down something like this. When we see someone commit a dishonest act, regardless of the number of honest acts this person has done, we use this prominent example, and make a moral judgment about him. And future honest acts have relatively less weight in changing our opinion. Now, compare this to an evaluation of someone's intelligent. When someone does something dumb, we generally don't label them as a dumb person, if we have seen other evidence that suggests that they are intelligent. And after a dumb action, relatively fewer intelligent acts would cause us to change our evaluation of this person. To compound things further, when we have a negative perception of a moral situation (i.e., I think this person is dishonest), it influences our objective evaluations (i.e., since I think this person is dishonest, I believe that he is less likely to be intelligent).

So why does this matter? A number of reasons. Certainly, we see the presence of suboptimal judgments when we attempt to apply morality in situations that call for brute analysis. Additionally, people may confuse the need for a problem solving with the desire for a moral judgment. And just as scary, we may not know when someone is acting based on a moral judgment or on an analytical one, so our understanding of human behavior could be off. Think about many of the hot-button topics that are in play right now. Things like gay marriage, abortion, environmentalism, educational policy, human rights, etc. And think about how people evaluate those situations. Often you see a fall back to the morality of the issue, and rather than the discussion of objective facts, the discussion hinges on exemplars or the prototypical images that pop into our heads.

Over at IJAB there are a couple posts that are touching on potentially controversial issues, including vaccination, drugs and gang violence, etc. One particular comment on the topic of vaccination comes from Robby (our very libertarian friend from previous discussion, such as this one), who notes that, "...the most vocal people against the vaccine are distinctly anti-science. They repeatedly ignore any and all legitimate research focusing mostly on some single event that happened to them personally." Robby's observation of everyday behavior is precisely what is predicted when people try to apply a moral judgment. People use inferior information, often with an exemplar/prototype, and have an emotionally-charged thought process. You could follow up his statement by then describing how people will use that exemplar as a start point, and then try to build an argument on that basic foundation.

Now what's interesting is that immediately, you see the Anonymous poster take offense at Robby's description by 1) claiming that they are a scientist, 2) claiming that there is evidence to prove a point, and 3) taking an emotionally-charged stance. Again, the suspicion is that Anonymous is trying to mask their moral judgment by claiming that it was an analytical one.

As you read through the commentary, you can probably guess where I stand. Again, given my shaky track record on human rights, it's not surprise that I agree with the Anonymous poster that we should stop giving out the vaccine, though I suspect that we agree on the course of action for very different reasons. Sadly, not enough people respond to my comments. My friend JK noted, "I start to get this nice discussion on my blog, until you post, and amazingly, the conversation stops."

I'll take that as a compliment.

-Chairman

Thursday, October 15, 2009

I Believe I Can Fly

... I believe I can touch the sky. No, this isn't a posting about R Kelly's legal issues from a while back. But it's still awesome.

This is amazing. The folks over at the NYT have picked up a story out of Colorado. Basically, an attention-seeking family of questionable intelligence owns an experimental balloon that can go up to 10,000 feet. Apparently, said balloon has a plywood box attached to it, and their youngest son (named Falcon - not making this up), climbs in, and takes off. Awesome line:

...the older boy saw the younger one go into a compartment at the bottom of the balloon and fly away.

I love the discussion of how they may have to use small-arms fire to take the balloon down. And even more awesome is the idea of taking a helicopter, and flying it above the balloon to force the balloon down.

In any case, the balloon lands, and there's no box or boy to be found. Could this be a hoax? A misunderstanding? Or did the balloon ditch the kid from 10,000 feet into the Colorado wilderness?

Regardless, it seems that, for the moment, the Freakonomics folks have already pondered whether or not Falcon was pre-destined to fly.

It's a wonder how our species manages to survive. I suppose that it's more to do with quantity, than quality.

Update: Turns out that the kid's alive. Apparently, there was some collusion with the kids. I hope they fine the parents, and beat the kids. Or maybe actually send them up in the balloon.

-Chairman

Friday, October 09, 2009

And Then the Rains Came

Quick update. It's currently 6:55. And it's now raining. Really hard. I start cleaning up the apartment, and was done vacuuming at 6:30, and was about to get changed for the pep rally. And then the rain started. And now it's raining harder. It's like a higher power wants me to hang out and watch baseball and play Madden, rather than join in school spirit. I think that as a compromise, I'm going to get changed, and do a drive-by to see if it's a rain-or-shine pep rally, and then play it by ear.

-Chairman

New Traditions

I have to confess. I wasn't a big rah-rah sort of guy back at the U. Never bothered going to a homecoming parade. Never went to the homecoming dance (although in fairness, the homecoming dance was put on by the black student union, which seemed sort of strange when I was a freshman, and was something that I never questioned in my years in Champaign). Didn't do the pep rally thing. I supported my team by getting tickets, and yelling at the game. Some of the time, I was yelling at our guys, and some of the time I was yelling at the refs, and some of the time I was yelling at the other team. I did a lot of yelling.

So, I've been going to the volleyball matches here in NOLA. And they do a really cool promo during the "halftime" between the 2nd and 3rd sets. They lay out a bunch of t-shirts on one side of the court, and then they have people from the stands come down, and hit serves at the shirts. Hit a shirt, and you win a shirt. Everyone participates. And if you miss, you can get back in line, if there's enough time.

I was a volleyball player back in the day. A pretty good one, relative to normal humans. I never had a great attacking serve, but I was always pretty accurate. I was able to steal a couple points here and there by hitting the back corner with a high ball that looks like it's going out. I could probably hit a 3' x 3' square in the back corner of the court once every three times, and could definitely land it within a 10'x10' most of the time. So, if you lay out a bunch of shirts across the net from me, I figure that for a given shirt, I'm about 1 in 4 to hit it. And if there are like 3 shirts within a 10' x 10' box, I'm probably slightly better than even money to hit a shirt.

I've been to three matches. I didn't bother going up to get a t-shirt at the first match, but I realized that I needed some Green Wave gear at some point. And free is always better than purchased. So, next game, I head up there. My first attempt misses by a couple feet. Not a great effort. But I go back in line, and get a 2nd shot. There was a cluster of 5 t-shirts. I aimed for the middle, and actually hit the middle shirt. Free shirt. Next match, I go back up, and see another nice cluster to aim at. And get another shirt. Two times on the court. 3 serves. 2 shirts. Pretty good hit ratio. This may replace laundry as a clothing option.

After the 2nd match I was at, I ran into one of my students, who happened to be a president of the student boosters club. He was on his way out to set up for a pep rally after the match, and told me that if I swung by, he'd get me a t-shirt. So, I figured that it would be good to get another t-shirt, as well as some free food, so I headed over to the pep rally after the volleyball match ended.

Unfortunately, it wasn't much of a pep rally. Not many students showed up. Aside from the club members, there were maybe 50 people there, mainly looking for free burgers. The band didn't make it. No coaches showed up. No players showed up. The cheerleaders were there... but let's face it... Matt Doherty's comments about the Duke cheerleaders back in the day are generally apt for our Green Wave squad. The cheerleaders saw the story, get everyone together for one cheer, and got the hell out of there. Generally speaking, it was a bad turnout. So the school spirit is still a work in progress. But, I got a burger and hot dog out of it, and a free t-shirt. All told, I'd call it a wash for myself.

Tonight is homecoming, and there's another pep rally scheduled for 7pm, along with some music afterward. I think that I'm going to show up and check things out. This is going to be a new tradition for me, I think. I have to convince myself that I now bleed Green and Blue (the modern colors) or Olive and Blue (the original colors, and the ones referred to in our fight song). I may have to actually go out there to see this up close for myself. And at the very least, there's a concert planned for after the pep rally...

-Chairman